Chris' Bacon Broccoli Frittata

Chris makes food delicious. She also has that super power that all really good cooks seem to enjoy, the ability to use what's available. Today she decided to make a Spiralized Potato Frittata, except she didn't have any potatoes or cheddar cheese. So she used broccoli and cream cheese instead. Oh, she did have a recipe to follow. It has 7 ingredients. She used the eggs.

Here is Chris' version of Spiralized Potato Frittata without the potatoes:


INGREDIENTS:

4 oz pancetta

12 eggs

1/2 t garlic powder

10 twists of black pepper

3 green onions

6 oz cream cheese

4 oz cotija cheese

2 t miso (opt.) or 1/2 t salt

8 mushrooms, thick slices

1-1/2 cups blanched broccoli, chopped (Chris accused me of over buying broccoli [no memory of this misstep], so she blanched the overage and bagged and froze it.)

PROCESS:

Using 12 inch skillet

1. Render pancetta till crispy. Set aside.

2. Saute mushrooms till not wet.

3. Add broccoli 3-5 minutes after frozen crystals disappeared.

4. Add sliced green onions

5. Beat eggs with garlic powder, black pepper, and miso (opt.: pinch of crushed red pepper).

6. Sprinkle cheeses on top

7. Sprinkle pancetta on top

8. Cook on stove for 5 minutes to set bottom

9. Bake at 400 F for 15 to 20 minutes till eggs are puffed and set.

10. Take out and let rest for a few minutes

11. Eat it!

CHRIS' OTHER RECIPES:

Potato Salad Spanish Tortilla

Son & Dad: something's gone wrong here . . .

Son & Dad: herculean

Son & Dad: pet peeve

Son & Dad: EASTER!

Disposition of COVID-19 Patients

Questions that caused me to make this diagram:

1. What percentage of patients with COVID-19 are hospitalized?
2. Of those hospitalized, what percentage receive intensive care?
3. How are those hospitalized distributed by age?
4. Of those hospitalized, what percentage recover? What percentage die? (Please note, I made the assumption that no one died while Isolated at Home.)
5. How are the people that die from COVID-19 distributed by age? 
6. How many people my age in my community have died from COVID-19?

[Since we’re in the midst of this battle, the dust hasn’t settled, the data’s not set . . . my numbers are based on ‘snapshots’ taken by others, so please view the percentages as approximations.]

1. What percentage of patients with COVID-18 are hospitalized?

Based on an analysis performed by the CDC on March 16, 2020 using data from 4,226 cases, 12% were hospitalized.

Reference: CDC Severe Outcome Among Patients with COVID-19 in USA (Feb 12 - Mar 16, 2020)

2. Of those hospitalized, what percentage receive intensive care?

From an analysis done by Thomas C. Tsai, Benjamin H. Jacobson, and Ashish K. Jha of American hospital capacity on March 17, 2020, 21.51% of COVID-19 cases needing hospitalization will require intensive care.

Reference: American Hospital Capacity And Projected Need for COVID-19 Patient Care, Health Affairs Blog, March 17, 2020.

3 How are those hospitalized distributed by age?

Based on data from Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19-Associated Hospitalizations as of April 4, 2020, and population of age groups:

Thus, for each 100 people who are hospitalized for COVID-19,

• 20 are younger than 50
• 31 are between 50 and 64
• 23 are between 65 and 74
• 17 are between 75 and 84
• 9 are 85 or older

4. Of those hospitalized, what percentage recover? What percentage die? (Please note, I made the assumption that no one died while Isolated at Home.)

Using the numbers from the American hospital capacity analysis:

PROJECTED COVID-19
Cases	98,876,254
Hospitalizations	20,598,725

On April 10, 2020 it was reported that there were 18,742 deaths and 496,912 COVID-19 cases. This is 3.77%. Multiplying the number of cases in the hospital capacity analysis by this percentage yields 3,729,310, which is 18.1% of the projected hospitalizations.

Reference: American Hospital Capacity And Projected Need for COVID-19 Patient Care, Health Affairs Blog, March 17, 2020.

5. How are the people that die from COVID-19 distributed by age?

Based on data from CDC Coronavirus (COVID-19) Surveillance as of April 4, 2020:

Age Group	Deaths	% of COVID-19 Deaths	Population	% of Population
<1	0	0.00%	3,848,208	1.18%
1-4	1	0.02%	15,962,067	4.88%
5-14	1	0.02%	41,075,169	12.55%
15-24	6	0.12%	42,970,800	13.13%
25-34	46	0.92%	45,697,774	13.97%
35-44	129	2.59%	41,277,888	12.62%
45-54	291	5.84%	41,631,699	12.72%
54-64	624	12.52%	42,272,636	12.92%
65-74	1,085	21.77%	30,492,316	9.32%
75-84	1,372	27.53%	15,394,374	4.71%
>85	1,429	28.67%	6,544,503	2.00%
Total US	4,984	100.00%	327,167,434	100.00%

6. How many people my age in my community have died from COVID-19?

First, I need to know how many people in my age group are likely to get COVID-19. I'd like to use USA numbers, but the CDC has an amazing organization scheme that guarantees clicking in circles, Luckily I found Age Distribution of Covid-19 Cases in Canada as of April 11, 2020 (at least we’re on the same continent).

Second, I need to know how many people in my age group who have COVID-19 are likely to die. I found Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis, a Lancet Infectious Diseases study published March 30, 2020.

Assuming my community has 1000 COVID-19 cases:

		CANADA	Number of Cases in Community	1,000
Age Cohort	Infection Fatality Rate	COVID-19 cases		Distribution by age	Fatlities using IFR
<19		5%
20-29		13%
30-39		14%
40-49		16%
0-49	0.2%	48%		480	1
50-59	0.6%	18%		180	1
60-69	1.9%	14%		140	3
70-79	4.3%	9%		90	4
>80	7.8%	11%		110	9
		100%	TOTALS:	1000	17

So, for me, being in the 70-79 age cohort, an estimated 90 of the 1000 are in this cohort and an estimated 4 of those will die from the virus.

[I tried a third time to get USA numbers, but CDC uses an age cohort of 65+ in their age distribution of COVID-19 cases. Consequently I couldn't logically combine the three Infection Facility Rates that apply to parts of this cohort.]

Son & Dad: grocery queue

My wife introduced me to the Fire Department Chronicles: Mobile Uploads. I was tickled to see the creativity that my fellow Americans used to 'mask up'. They inspired me.

New COVID-19 Cases by Census and Economic Regions

CONTENTS:

• Graph of New COVID-19 Cases by Census Bureau Regions
• Graph of New COVID-19 Cases by Economic Analysis Regions
• Graph of Percent of Deaths per COVID-19 Cases by Economic Analysis Regions

Per wikipedia, the Census Bureau system is the one most commonly used for statistically sorting the states by regions.

• Region 1: Northeast
  • Division 1: New England (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont)
  • Division 2: Mid-Atlantic (New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania)
• Region 2: Midwest (Prior to June 1984, the Midwest Region was designated as the North Central Region.)^[7]
  • Division 3: East North Central (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin)
  • Division 4: West North Central (Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota)
• Region 3: South
  • Division 5: South Atlantic (Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, District of Columbia, and West Virginia)
  • Division 6: East South Central (Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Tennessee)
  • Division 7: West South Central (Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas)
• Region 4: West
  • Division 8: Mountain (Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming)
  • Division 9: Pacific (Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington)

Puerto Rico and other US territories are not part of any census region or census division.

Link to pdf

The populations of these regions are:

Region	Population
Northeast	56,111,079
Midwest	68,308,744
South	124,774,698
West	77,993,663
TOTAL	327,188,184

From wikipedia, the Bureau of Economic Analysis defines regions for comparison of economic data.

• New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont
• Mideast: Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania
• Great Lakes: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin
• Plains: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota
• Southeast: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia
• Southwest: Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas
• Rocky Mountain: Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wyoming
• Far West: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington

Link to pdf

The populations of the economic analysis regions are:

Economic Analysis Regions	Population
New England	14,853,290
Mideast	48,970,133
Great Lakes	46,931,883
Plains	21,376,861
Southeast	84,417,430
Southwest	41,911,998
Rocky Mountain	12,250,919
Far West	56,475,670
TOTAL	327,188,184